Race to the Moon · US vs China
Crewed landing: United States leads on demonstrated milestones
Permanent presence: Level on demonstrated milestones
Projected first crewed landing: Too close to call
Official targets: China Before 2030 (2030年前); United States 2028 (NASA target: early 2028) for Artemis IV.
Next uncrewed landing attempt: Griffin Mission One ("Moon Base II"), No earlier than November 2026 (NASA Moon Base manager, 15 Sep 2026).
Rungs demonstrated out of 8 per goal; China shown first (alphabetical). Method v1.0.3, evidence as of 24 Sep 2026.
Source: SpaceNexus (CC BY 4.0)
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