Promise Ledger

Blue Origin: public spaceflight commitments

Launch vehicle, lander and spacecraft company. These are the dated public commitments by Blue Origin and its people that we could source to a primary, with what happened.

7 entries: 2 met; 1 met late; 1 missed; 2 revised; 1 pending.

Plain counts, not a grade or a ranking. A short record is not a complete one. Checked against sources on Sep 26, 2026; scoring rules on the methodology page.

This first release is a selection, and a short record is not a complete record. Each programme milestone enters the ledger at its earliest dated public commitment we can find in a primary source, for governments and companies alike. Later dated commitments for the same milestone are shown on that one entry as a revision chain, oldest first, rather than as separate entries.

Entries

Met

Met late

Missed

Revised

Pending

What the statuses mean

Met:: happened on or before the deadline.
Met late:: happened after the deadline.
Missed:: the deadline passed without it (confirmed).
Revised:: the date or quantity was moved before it came due.
Pending:: the deadline has not passed.

Includes statements by: Jeff Bezos, Dave Limp

Entries, soonest deadline first

StatusClaim typeOrganisation

Blue Origin orbital rocket launching from Cape Canaveral this decade
Revised · worded as a commitment
First flight · Jeff Bezos, Founder, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“We’ll be launching from here later this decade.”
Said Sep 15, 2015. Source: Blue Origin: Coming to the Space Coast (Sep 15, 2015, paragraph 4)
Context: 'Here' is Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral; the orbital vehicle was later named New Glenn. Signed blog post by Bezos on blueorigin.com.
Deadline
“later this decade”, read as Dec 31, 2019 (year precision)Worded as a commitment ("will")
Counts as met when
Blue Origin's orbital launch vehicle lifts off from Launch Complex 36 for the first time.
Later dated commitments for the same milestone
1. Jan 31, 2019: “gives New Glenn the opportunity to demonstrate its heavy-lift and volume capabilities to civil, commercial and national security customers when it begins launching in 2021.” (new date as stated: in 2021, read as Dec 31, 2021). RevisedSource: Blue Origin: Blue Origin to Launch Telesat's Advanced Global LEO Satellite Constellation (Jan 31, 2019, paragraph beginning 'This partnership, along with New Glenn's selection')
2. Feb 25, 2021: “The current target for New Glenn’s maiden flight is Q4 2022.” (new date as stated: Q4 2022, read as Dec 31, 2022). Met lateSource: Blue Origin: New Glenn’s Progress Towards Maiden Flight (Feb 25, 2021)
3. Jan 22, 2024: “The first and second stages of New Glenn’s test vehicle mate for the first time, enabling us to exercise our tooling and stage interfaces in preparation for our first launch later this year.” (new date as stated: later this year, read as Dec 31, 2024). Met lateSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn test vehicle stages mate for the first time (Jan 22, 2024)
4. Jan 7, 2025: “We’re targeting New Glenn’s first launch no earlier than January 10 from LC-36.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 10, read as Jan 10, 2025). RevisedSource: Blue Origin on X: Launch Alert: New Glenn first launch NET January 10 (Jan 7, 2025)
5. Jan 9, 2025: “We're shifting our NG-1 launch date to no earlier than January 12 due to a high sea state in the Atlantic where we hope to land our booster.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 12, read as Jan 12, 2025). RevisedSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn Launch Update: NG-1 NET January 12 (Jan 9, 2025)
6. Jan 11, 2025: “We're shifting our NG-1 launch date by one day to no earlier than January 13.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 13, read as Jan 13, 2025). Met lateSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn Launch Update: NG-1 NET January 13 (Jan 11, 2025)
The counts use the original commitment. The latest date in the chain stands as: met late.
Outcome: New Glenn's first launch (NG-1) lifted off on 2025-01-16 and reached its intended orbit; the booster was lost during descent. (Jan 16, 2025, 3 days after the latest deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn safely reached its intended orbit during today's NG-1 mission (Jan 16, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Shepard's first crewed flight on July 20, 2021
Met · worded as a commitment
Crewed milestone · Blue Origin
“On July 20th, New Shepard will fly its first astronaut crew to space.”
Said May 5, 2021. Source: Blue Origin: Bid For the Very First Seat on New Shepard (May 5, 2021, paragraph 1)
Context: Announcement of the auction for a seat on the flight.
Deadline
“July 20th”, read as Jul 20, 2021 (day precision)Worded as a commitment ("will")
Counts as met when
New Shepard launches with its first crew aboard.
Outcome: NS-16 launched on 2021-07-20 with Jeff Bezos and three other people aboard. (Jul 20, 2021, on or before the deadline)
Outcome source: SpaceNews: Blue Origin launches Bezos on first crewed New Shepard flight (Jul 20, 2021)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
Second New Glenn flight, with another booster landing attempt, in spring 2025
Revised · worded as a target
Launch · Dave Limp, CEO, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“On to spring and trying again on the landing.”
Said Jan 16, 2025. Source: Dave Limp on X: We did it! Orbital. (Jan 16, 2025, post text, sentence 4)
Context: Posted after NG-1 reached orbit and its booster was lost; 'the landing' is the booster landing attempt on the next New Glenn flight.
Deadline
“spring”, read as Jun 30, 2025 (season precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
New Glenn's second flight (NG-2) lifts off.
Later dated commitments for the same milestone
1. Jun 9, 2025: “New Glenn’s second mission will take place NET August 15th.” (new date as stated: NET August 15th, read as Aug 31, 2025). Met lateSource: Dave Limp on X: New Glenn’s second mission will take place NET August 15th (Jun 9, 2025)
The counts use the original commitment. The latest date in the chain stands as: met late.
Outcome: NG-2 lifted off on 2025-11-13 carrying NASA's ESCAPADE; the booster landed on the ship Jacklyn. (Nov 13, 2025, 74 days after the latest deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn successfully completed its second mission (Nov 13, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Shepard NS-34 crewed launch on August 3, 2025
Met · worded as a target
Crewed milestone · Blue Origin
“Our crewed NS-34 mission is targeting liftoff from Launch Site One on Sunday, August 3, 2025.”
Said Jul 30, 2025. Source: Blue Origin on X: New Shepard is preparing to launch from West Texas (NS-34) (Jul 30, 2025)
Deadline
“Sunday, August 3, 2025”, read as Aug 3, 2025 (day precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
NS-34 lifts off with its crew aboard.
Outcome: NS-34 lifted off on 2025-08-03 with its crew aboard. (Aug 3, 2025, on or before the deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Shepard has cleared the tower. The NS-34 crew is on their way to space. (Aug 3, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
First Blue Moon MK1 lander launches in 2025
Missed · worded as a target
Launch · Blue Origin
“cameras on a payload set to launch this year on the Blue Moon MK1 mission”
Said Feb 19, 2025. Source: Blue Origin on X: Test photo from the cameras on a payload set to launch this year on the Blue Moon MK1 mission (Feb 19, 2025, post text, sentence 1)
Context: The payload is NASA's SCALPSS camera array. CEO Dave Limp posted on 2025-07-23: "Step by step, our journey to the Moon later this year continues." (https://x.com/davill/status/1948096312383254868).
Deadline
“this year”, read as Dec 31, 2025 (year precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
The first Blue Moon MK1 lander launches.
Outcome: MK1 did not launch in 2025. After the New Glenn explosion at Launch Complex 36 on 2026-05-28, NASA said in September 2026 that MK1 Endurance is slated to launch in the first part of 2027.
Outcome source: Aerospace America (AIAA): NASA expects one lunar launch this year, Moon Base manager says (Sep 15, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Glenn NG-3 launch no earlier than late February 2026
Met late · worded as a target
Launch · Blue Origin
“New Glenn’s third mission, NG-3, will send @AST_SpaceMobile’s next generation Block 2 BlueBird satellites to low Earth orbit, NET late February.”
Said Jan 22, 2026. Source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn’s third mission, NG-3 (Jan 22, 2026, post text, sentence 1)
Deadline
“NET late February” (no earlier than), read as Feb 28, 2026 (month precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
NG-3 lifts off.
Outcome: NG-3 lifted off from LC-36 on 2026-04-19 carrying BlueBird 7; AST SpaceMobile reported that the upper stage placed the satellite in a lower than planned orbit, too low to sustain operations, and that it will be de-orbited. (Apr 19, 2026, 50 days after the deadline)
Outcome source: AST SpaceMobile (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1): AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle (Apr 20, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Glenn flies again in 2026 after the May 28 pad explosion
Pending · worded as a target
Launch · Dave Limp, CEO, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“We have started reconstruction and still plan to fly again this year.”
Said Jun 25, 2026. Source: Dave Limp on X: Wreckage recovery completed; still plan to fly again this year (Jun 25, 2026, post text, sentence 4)
Context: After a New Glenn exploded during a static fire at Launch Complex 36 on 2026-05-28.
Deadline
“this year”, read as Dec 31, 2026 (year precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
A New Glenn lifts off.
Outcome: New Glenn has not flown since NG-3 (2026-04-19) as of 2026-09-26; the deadline has not passed.
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry

Corrections, responses and submissions

Something wrong? Report a correction with the entry and a source. Every entry also has its own link.
An organisation named here can send its public response to an entry through the same link; a dated, sourced response is shown on the entry.
Know a dated public commitment we have not listed? Submit it with the exact words and a primary source (the speaker's own post, video with a timestamp, release, filing or transcript).
The same rules and the same standard of evidence apply to everyone. Confirmed changes are logged on the corrections page with the date.

Open data: download the whole ledger (CSV, CC BY 4.0). Cite as “SpaceNexus Promise Ledger” with a link. How entries are scored: methodology. No sponsor, advertiser or partner can add, remove, reorder, annotate or preview an entry, and these pages carry no advertising.

The whole Promise Ledger, with every organisation and person, and the topic trackers.

Blue Origin: public spaceflight commitments

Launch vehicle, lander and spacecraft company. These are the dated public commitments by Blue Origin and its people that we could source to a primary, with what happened.

7 entries: 2 met; 1 met late; 1 missed; 2 revised; 1 pending.

Plain counts, not a grade or a ranking. A short record is not a complete one. Checked against sources on Sep 26, 2026; scoring rules on the methodology page.

Entries

Met

Met late

Missed

Revised

Pending

What the statuses mean

Met:: happened on or before the deadline.
Met late:: happened after the deadline.
Missed:: the deadline passed without it (confirmed).
Revised:: the date or quantity was moved before it came due.
Pending:: the deadline has not passed.

Entries, soonest deadline first

StatusClaim typeOrganisation

Blue Origin orbital rocket launching from Cape Canaveral this decade
Revised · worded as a commitment
First flight · Jeff Bezos, Founder, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“We’ll be launching from here later this decade.”
Said Sep 15, 2015. Source: Blue Origin: Coming to the Space Coast (Sep 15, 2015, paragraph 4)
Context: 'Here' is Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral; the orbital vehicle was later named New Glenn. Signed blog post by Bezos on blueorigin.com.
Deadline
“later this decade”, read as Dec 31, 2019 (year precision)Worded as a commitment ("will")
Counts as met when
Blue Origin's orbital launch vehicle lifts off from Launch Complex 36 for the first time.
Later dated commitments for the same milestone
1. Jan 31, 2019: “gives New Glenn the opportunity to demonstrate its heavy-lift and volume capabilities to civil, commercial and national security customers when it begins launching in 2021.” (new date as stated: in 2021, read as Dec 31, 2021). RevisedSource: Blue Origin: Blue Origin to Launch Telesat's Advanced Global LEO Satellite Constellation (Jan 31, 2019, paragraph beginning 'This partnership, along with New Glenn's selection')
2. Feb 25, 2021: “The current target for New Glenn’s maiden flight is Q4 2022.” (new date as stated: Q4 2022, read as Dec 31, 2022). Met lateSource: Blue Origin: New Glenn’s Progress Towards Maiden Flight (Feb 25, 2021)
3. Jan 22, 2024: “The first and second stages of New Glenn’s test vehicle mate for the first time, enabling us to exercise our tooling and stage interfaces in preparation for our first launch later this year.” (new date as stated: later this year, read as Dec 31, 2024). Met lateSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn test vehicle stages mate for the first time (Jan 22, 2024)
4. Jan 7, 2025: “We’re targeting New Glenn’s first launch no earlier than January 10 from LC-36.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 10, read as Jan 10, 2025). RevisedSource: Blue Origin on X: Launch Alert: New Glenn first launch NET January 10 (Jan 7, 2025)
5. Jan 9, 2025: “We're shifting our NG-1 launch date to no earlier than January 12 due to a high sea state in the Atlantic where we hope to land our booster.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 12, read as Jan 12, 2025). RevisedSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn Launch Update: NG-1 NET January 12 (Jan 9, 2025)
6. Jan 11, 2025: “We're shifting our NG-1 launch date by one day to no earlier than January 13.” (new date as stated: no earlier than January 13, read as Jan 13, 2025). Met lateSource: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn Launch Update: NG-1 NET January 13 (Jan 11, 2025)
The counts use the original commitment. The latest date in the chain stands as: met late.
Outcome: New Glenn's first launch (NG-1) lifted off on 2025-01-16 and reached its intended orbit; the booster was lost during descent. (Jan 16, 2025, 3 days after the latest deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn safely reached its intended orbit during today's NG-1 mission (Jan 16, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Shepard's first crewed flight on July 20, 2021
Met · worded as a commitment
Crewed milestone · Blue Origin
“On July 20th, New Shepard will fly its first astronaut crew to space.”
Said May 5, 2021. Source: Blue Origin: Bid For the Very First Seat on New Shepard (May 5, 2021, paragraph 1)
Context: Announcement of the auction for a seat on the flight.
Deadline
“July 20th”, read as Jul 20, 2021 (day precision)Worded as a commitment ("will")
Counts as met when
New Shepard launches with its first crew aboard.
Outcome: NS-16 launched on 2021-07-20 with Jeff Bezos and three other people aboard. (Jul 20, 2021, on or before the deadline)
Outcome source: SpaceNews: Blue Origin launches Bezos on first crewed New Shepard flight (Jul 20, 2021)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
Second New Glenn flight, with another booster landing attempt, in spring 2025
Revised · worded as a target
Launch · Dave Limp, CEO, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“On to spring and trying again on the landing.”
Said Jan 16, 2025. Source: Dave Limp on X: We did it! Orbital. (Jan 16, 2025, post text, sentence 4)
Context: Posted after NG-1 reached orbit and its booster was lost; 'the landing' is the booster landing attempt on the next New Glenn flight.
Deadline
“spring”, read as Jun 30, 2025 (season precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
New Glenn's second flight (NG-2) lifts off.
Later dated commitments for the same milestone
1. Jun 9, 2025: “New Glenn’s second mission will take place NET August 15th.” (new date as stated: NET August 15th, read as Aug 31, 2025). Met lateSource: Dave Limp on X: New Glenn’s second mission will take place NET August 15th (Jun 9, 2025)
The counts use the original commitment. The latest date in the chain stands as: met late.
Outcome: NG-2 lifted off on 2025-11-13 carrying NASA's ESCAPADE; the booster landed on the ship Jacklyn. (Nov 13, 2025, 74 days after the latest deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn successfully completed its second mission (Nov 13, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Shepard NS-34 crewed launch on August 3, 2025
Met · worded as a target
Crewed milestone · Blue Origin
“Our crewed NS-34 mission is targeting liftoff from Launch Site One on Sunday, August 3, 2025.”
Said Jul 30, 2025. Source: Blue Origin on X: New Shepard is preparing to launch from West Texas (NS-34) (Jul 30, 2025)
Deadline
“Sunday, August 3, 2025”, read as Aug 3, 2025 (day precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
NS-34 lifts off with its crew aboard.
Outcome: NS-34 lifted off on 2025-08-03 with its crew aboard. (Aug 3, 2025, on or before the deadline)
Outcome source: Blue Origin on X: New Shepard has cleared the tower. The NS-34 crew is on their way to space. (Aug 3, 2025)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
First Blue Moon MK1 lander launches in 2025
Missed · worded as a target
Launch · Blue Origin
“cameras on a payload set to launch this year on the Blue Moon MK1 mission”
Said Feb 19, 2025. Source: Blue Origin on X: Test photo from the cameras on a payload set to launch this year on the Blue Moon MK1 mission (Feb 19, 2025, post text, sentence 1)
Context: The payload is NASA's SCALPSS camera array. CEO Dave Limp posted on 2025-07-23: "Step by step, our journey to the Moon later this year continues." (https://x.com/davill/status/1948096312383254868).
Deadline
“this year”, read as Dec 31, 2025 (year precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
The first Blue Moon MK1 lander launches.
Outcome: MK1 did not launch in 2025. After the New Glenn explosion at Launch Complex 36 on 2026-05-28, NASA said in September 2026 that MK1 Endurance is slated to launch in the first part of 2027.
Outcome source: Aerospace America (AIAA): NASA expects one lunar launch this year, Moon Base manager says (Sep 15, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Glenn NG-3 launch no earlier than late February 2026
Met late · worded as a target
Launch · Blue Origin
“New Glenn’s third mission, NG-3, will send @AST_SpaceMobile’s next generation Block 2 BlueBird satellites to low Earth orbit, NET late February.”
Said Jan 22, 2026. Source: Blue Origin on X: New Glenn’s third mission, NG-3 (Jan 22, 2026, post text, sentence 1)
Deadline
“NET late February” (no earlier than), read as Feb 28, 2026 (month precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
NG-3 lifts off.
Outcome: NG-3 lifted off from LC-36 on 2026-04-19 carrying BlueBird 7; AST SpaceMobile reported that the upper stage placed the satellite in a lower than planned orbit, too low to sustain operations, and that it will be de-orbited. (Apr 19, 2026, 50 days after the deadline)
Outcome source: AST SpaceMobile (SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99.1): AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle (Apr 20, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
New Glenn flies again in 2026 after the May 28 pad explosion
Pending · worded as a target
Launch · Dave Limp, CEO, Blue Origin · Blue Origin
“We have started reconstruction and still plan to fly again this year.”
Said Jun 25, 2026. Source: Dave Limp on X: Wreckage recovery completed; still plan to fly again this year (Jun 25, 2026, post text, sentence 4)
Context: After a New Glenn exploded during a static fire at Launch Complex 36 on 2026-05-28.
Deadline
“this year”, read as Dec 31, 2026 (year precision)Worded as a target ("targeting", "plan", "expect", "no earlier than")
Counts as met when
A New Glenn lifts off.
Outcome: New Glenn has not flown since NG-3 (2026-04-19) as of 2026-09-26; the deadline has not passed.
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry

Corrections, responses and submissions

Something wrong? Report a correction with the entry and a source. Every entry also has its own link.
An organisation named here can send its public response to an entry through the same link; a dated, sourced response is shown on the entry.
Know a dated public commitment we have not listed? Submit it with the exact words and a primary source (the speaker's own post, video with a timestamp, release, filing or transcript).
The same rules and the same standard of evidence apply to everyone. Confirmed changes are logged on the corrections page with the date.

The whole Promise Ledger, with every organisation and person, and the topic trackers.

Blue Origin: public spaceflight commitments

Entries, soonest deadline first

Blue Origin orbital rocket launching from Cape Canaveral this decade

New Shepard's first crewed flight on July 20, 2021

Second New Glenn flight, with another booster landing attempt, in spring 2025

New Shepard NS-34 crewed launch on August 3, 2025

First Blue Moon MK1 lander launches in 2025

New Glenn NG-3 launch no earlier than late February 2026

New Glenn flies again in 2026 after the May 28 pad explosion

Corrections, responses and submissions

Blue Origin: public spaceflight commitments

Entries, soonest deadline first

Blue Origin orbital rocket launching from Cape Canaveral this decade

New Shepard's first crewed flight on July 20, 2021

Second New Glenn flight, with another booster landing attempt, in spring 2025

New Shepard NS-34 crewed launch on August 3, 2025

First Blue Moon MK1 lander launches in 2025

New Glenn NG-3 launch no earlier than late February 2026

New Glenn flies again in 2026 after the May 28 pad explosion

Corrections, responses and submissions

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