Promise Ledger
Vice president of launch at SpaceX. These are the dated public commitments by Kiko Dontchev that we could source to a primary, with what happened. Roles are as of the date each was said.
1 entry: 1 missed.
Plain counts, not a grade or a ranking. A short record is not a complete one. Checked against sources on Sep 26, 2026; scoring rules on the methodology page.
This first release is a selection, and a short record is not a complete record. Each programme milestone enters the ledger at its earliest dated public commitment we can find in a primary source, for governments and companies alike. Later dated commitments for the same milestone are shown on that one entry as a revision chain, oldest first, rather than as separate entries.
Spoke for: SpaceX
Missed · worded as a possibility
Launch cadence · Kiko Dontchev, Launch executive, SpaceX (titled Vice President of Launch by 2025) · SpaceX
“We are aiming for 144 launches in 2024 (12 per month).”
Said . Source: Kiko Dontchev on X: We are aiming for 144 launches in 2024 (12 per month) (Jan 3, 2024, post text, sentence 1)
Outcome: SpaceX's S-1 reports 134 Falcon launches in 2024; Starship also flew four flight tests that year (Flights 3 to 6).
Outcome source: SEC EDGAR: Form S-1: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (MD&A, 2024 compared with 2023, page 116) (May 20, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry
Open data: download the whole ledger (CSV, CC BY 4.0). Cite as “SpaceNexus Promise Ledger” with a link. How entries are scored: methodology. No sponsor, advertiser or partner can add, remove, reorder, annotate or preview an entry, and these pages carry no advertising.
The whole Promise Ledger, with every organisation and person, and the topic trackers.
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