Promise Ledger
Vice president of launch at SpaceX. These are the dated public commitments by Kiko Dontchev that we could source to a primary, with what happened. Roles are as of the date each was said.
1 entry: 1 missed.
Plain counts, not a grade or a ranking. A short record is not a complete one. Updated Sep 28, 2026; each entry shows the date it was last checked against its source; scoring rules on the methodology page.
This first release is a selection, and a short record is not a complete record. Each programme milestone enters the ledger at its earliest dated public commitment we can find in a primary source, for governments and companies alike. Later dated commitments for the same milestone are shown on that one entry as a revision chain, oldest first, rather than as separate entries.
Spoke for: SpaceX
Missed · worded as a possibility
Launch cadence · Kiko Dontchev, Launch executive, SpaceX (titled Vice President of Launch by 2025) · SpaceX
“We are aiming for 144 launches in 2024 (12 per month).”
Said . Source: Kiko Dontchev on X: We are aiming for 144 launches in 2024 (12 per month) (Jan 3, 2024, post text, sentence 1)
Outcome: SpaceX's S-1 reports 134 Falcon launches in 2024; Starship also flew four flight tests that year (Flights 3 to 6).
Outcome source: SEC EDGAR: Form S-1: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (MD&A, 2024 compared with 2023, page 116) (May 20, 2026)
Checked against the source on Sep 26, 2026. Report a correction or send a response to this entry ·
Open data: download the whole ledger (CSV, CC BY 4.0). Archived on Zenodo, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22985970. How entries are scored: methodology. No sponsor, advertiser or partner can add, remove, reorder, annotate or preview an entry, and these pages carry no advertising.
Cite as: SpaceNexus. (2026). SpaceNexus Promise Ledger (Version 2026-09-28) [Data set]. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22985970. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
The whole Promise Ledger, with every organisation and person, and the topic trackers.
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