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Race to the Moon · United States
United States: Artemis and the Moon Base
The only nation to have landed people on the Moon (six landings, 1969–72) flew a crew around it again in April 2026. In February 2026 NASA made Artemis III an Earth-orbit docking test and moved the first landing since 1972 to Artemis IV; in March it paused Gateway and announced a south-pole Moon Base.
Data reviewed against sources as of · Tracker method v1.0 · All dates UTC unless a local time is shown
Official targets
Crewed landing
2028 (NASA target: early 2028) — Artemis IV
Earlier reading used as a sensitivity: "Early 2028" (NASA ESDMD, NASA Artemis IV page, GAO)
EO 14369: "establishing initial elements of a permanent lunar outpost by 2030". NASA’s Moon Base phase plan starts long-duration human presence in 2033 or later. No official date for continuous occupation.
First crewed flight beyond low Earth orbit since 1972: launched 1 Apr 2026 22:35 UTC, flew around the Moon on 6 Apr and splashed down 10 Apr 8:07 pm EDT (11 Apr 00:07 UTC). Set the human distance record, 252,756 miles.
No longer a landing. A crewed test in low Earth orbit: Orion rendezvous and docking with Blue Origin’s Blue Moon Mark 2 HLS pathfinder and SpaceX’s Starship HLS pathfinder. Crew: Bresnik, Parmitano (ESA), Douglas, Rubio. Hardware stacking is under way.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
"NET late 2027" is press wording, not NASA’s.
Wikipedia’s "Mk 1.5" name for the Blue Origin vehicle.
The first crewed landing since Apollo 17, near the south pole. Four crew; two descend. NASA has not designated the lander: "lander readiness will determine which provider".
Second landing and the start of base-building; then "at least one surface landing every year". At Ignition NASA described crewed missions about every six months after Artemis IV and V — an aspiration.
SLS reached trans-lunar injection on Artemis I and II. NASA standardised SLS in February 2026 and dropped the Exploration Upper Stage and Mobile Launcher 2. A ULA Centaur V upper stage was selected through a sole-source justification. Orion accounts for about 75% of the cumulative overruns in NASA’s major-project portfolio (GAO).
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
Whether Artemis IV flies the last ICPS and Artemis V the first Centaur V — secondary sources conflict.
Contracted for the (former) Artemis III and IV landings (about $4.3 billion potential, up 6% since). The architecture needs "more than 10 Starship tankers" per landing (OIG), a tanker every 6 days, and a 12–24-day pad turnaround not yet demonstrated. Starship has flown 13 suborbital flights; Flight 14 (NET 28 Sep 2026) is the first planned orbital flight. Ship-to-ship propellant transfer, planned for March 2026, has not been attempted.
Safety (OIG): the design relies on an elevator with no alternative crew ingress; south-pole slopes reach 20° against an 8° post-landing tilt tolerance.
Spaceflight Now describes the tanker count as 10 to 20.
Mk2 crew lander: about $3.1 billion crew-lander portion (OIG); critical design review slipping to July 2026 and an uncrewed demo projected for February 2029 before the restructure. A "Blue Moon Mark 2 HLS pathfinder" docks with Orion on Artemis III. The MK1 cargo lander (Moon Base I) waits on New Glenn, which exploded on its pad in May 2026; NASA now expects it in the first part of 2027.
GAO (July 2026): key decision point deferred and the suit "does not meet several sizing requirements"; a combined design review is planned for fall 2026. OIG: demonstrations "may not occur until 2031" if delays follow the historical average. First in-space test planned on Artemis III.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
A June 2026 status report that the pressure garments are "fully assembled and undergoing testing" and life-support components "in hand" (secondary).
Phase 1 (now–2028): robotic landings, lunar terrain vehicles, the Artemis IV landing. Phase 2 (2029–2032): power, communications, JAXA pressurised rover. Phase 3 (2033 and beyond): long-duration presence with ASI multi-purpose habitats and a CSA utility vehicle. About $20 billion over seven years, as presented (no NASA primary for the figure). Programme executive: Carlos García-Galán.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
The $20 billion figure has no NASA primary source.
Astrolab CLV-1 ($219M) and Lunar Outpost Pegasus ($220M), delivered by Blue Origin landers. Intuitive Machines was not selected. Four MoonFall scouting drones (Firefly) launch in 2028.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
At least 100 kWe, closed Brayton cycle; ready to launch by Q1 FY2030 (directive) and "ready for launch by 2030" (EO 14369). NASA–DOE MOU January 2026. No prime vendor award found as of September 2026. The separate Space Reactor-1 Freedom is a nuclear-electric propulsion demonstrator on a Mars-flyby mission targeted before the end of 2028; it is not the surface reactor.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
June 2026 power-converter contracts (Rolls-Royce North America, Brayton Energy, GE).
Paused by NASA "in its current form"; funding redirection pending in Congress
NASA paused Gateway on 24 Mar 2026 and plans to "repurpose applicable Gateway hardware". Congress appropriated $2.6 billion for it in July 2025; the FY2027 request proposes redirecting it. ESA’s I-Hab continues to its critical design review while repurposing is assessed; the next European decision is due at a December 2026 ministerial meeting.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
The Power and Propulsion Element going to SR-1 Freedom (Wikipedia only).
About $1.9 billion spent on HALO (an OIG report we could not locate).
Four CLPS landers launched 2024–25: Peregrine (failed), IM-1 (landed tilted), Blue Ghost 1 (full success), IM-2 (landed on its side). None has landed in 2026. Next: Griffin-1 (NET November 2026), Blue Moon MK1 and IM-3 (first part of 2027), Blue Ghost 2 (later in 2027).
FY2025 enacted $24.8 billion; FY2026 enacted $24.4 billion; FY2027 request $18.8 billion (−23%) including $8.5 billion for Artemis. FY2027 runs on a continuing resolution to 11 Dec 2026.
Missions and programme steps, past and planned. Launch failures are in the full catalogue.
2021
●Done
SpaceX Starship HLS contract (Option A)
Selected in April 2021; awarded in July 2021 after a protest-driven stop-work, with a potential value of about $3 billion. Covered an uncrewed demo and the (former) Artemis III landing.
At least 100 kWe, closed Brayton cycle, awards to up to two providers with an option to down-select at PDR, "readiness to launch by the first quarter of FY30".
VIPER delivery conditionally revived on Blue Moon MK1 #2
$190 million total potential value. The base order covers design and demonstration; the deployment option is decided after Blue Moon MK1’s first flight.
Executive Order 14369, "Ensuring American Space Superiority"
"Returning Americans to the Moon by 2028"; "establishing initial elements of a permanent lunar outpost by 2030"; "a lunar surface reactor ready for launch by 2030".
Must include a lunar ascent. OIG (March 2026): expected "to slip to the end of 2026" at the earliest; it now depends on first orbit and ship-to-ship transfer.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
Artemis restructured: Artemis III becomes an Earth-orbit test; Artemis IV becomes the first landing
NASA: "the Artemis III mission, now in 2027 … to prepare for an Artemis IV landing in 2028", and "at least one surface landing every year thereafter". SLS standardised on the Block 1 configuration.
NASA drops the Exploration Upper Stage; Artemis IV "early 2028", Artemis V "by late 2028"
NASA is "no longer planning to use the Exploration Upper Stage or Mobile Launcher 2". A ULA Centaur V upper stage was selected through a sole-source justification; which flight first uses it is not confirmed by NASA.
NASA OIG report on the Human Landing System contracts
SpaceX’s lander "will not be ready for a June 2027 lunar landing"; it is "too early to determine the technical feasibility" of acceleration; NASA has no capability to rescue a stranded crew.
Ignition: NASA pauses Gateway and announces a south-pole Moon Base
Gateway paused "in its current form"; a phased Moon Base at about $20 billion over seven years (as presented, per the Planetary Society); an expanded CLPS of "up to 30 robotic landings starting in 2027" for roughly $6 billion over a decade.
NASA outlines Artemis III: Orion docks with both landers’ pathfinders in Earth orbit
"Blue Origin’s Blue Moon Mark 2 human landing system pathfinder" and "SpaceX’s Starship human landing system pathfinder"; a non-propulsive spacer replaces the upper stage.
Moon Base awards: two lunar terrain vehicles, lander task orders, MoonFall drones
Astrolab CLV-1 ($219M) and Lunar Outpost Pegasus ($220M), both to be delivered by 2028; Blue Origin task orders ($188M plus a $280.4M option) to deliver them; four MoonFall drones built by Firefly for 2028. Moon Base I, II and III named.
About 9 pm EDT on 28 May; cause under investigation, with early analysis pointing to the first stage’s aft section. LC-36 is New Glenn’s only pad; Blue Moon MK1 slipped to early 2027.
Randy Bresnik (commander), Luca Parmitano (pilot, ESA — "the first time an ESA astronaut has been assigned an Artemis mission"), Andre Douglas, Frank Rubio; backup Bob Hines.
HLS cost and schedule baselines "under review"; the lunar suit programme’s key decision point deferred, and the suit "does not meet several sizing requirements".
Suborbital; released 20 Starlink V3 satellites on a path that deorbited them by design. SpaceX: "softest splashdown we have ever had". The booster hit the water harder than planned.
"As early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval" (SpaceX, 17 Sep 2026)
Up to 26 Starlink V3 satellites; 75-minute window opening 8:15 am EDT. The first 13 flights were all suborbital. Reaching orbit would move the US on rung L1.
Uncrewed cargo pathfinder — not the crew lander — for the Shackleton connecting ridge, carrying NASA’s SCALPSS cameras and a laser retroreflector. The slip followed the New Glenn explosion on its pad in May 2026.
Artemis III: crewed docking test with lander pathfinders in Earth orbit
About two weeks. Orion docks with the Blue Origin pathfinder for about two days, then with the Starship pathfinder for about a day. Also tests the AxEMU suit.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
"No earlier than late 2027" (reported by press, not NASA’s wording).
An Orion "internal readiness date" of January 2028 (Wikipedia, no primary).
VIPER was cancelled in July 2024 and conditionally revived on 19 Sep 2025. The base task order covers design and demonstration; NASA "will decide whether to exercise the deployment option after reviewing Blue Origin’s first Blue Moon MK1 flight", which has slipped to early 2027. $190M is the total potential value.
Four crew; two descend near the lunar south pole. NASA: "Lander readiness will determine which provider will safely carry them to the surface" — SpaceX Starship HLS or Blue Origin Blue Moon. SpaceX’s existing contract covered the former Artemis III and IV landings.
NASA: "future missions about once per year thereafter". Before the February 2026 restructure it was assigned Blue Moon Mk2 with a launch "no later than March 2030" (OIG).
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
That Artemis V is the first SLS flight with a Centaur V upper stage — secondary sources conflict.
Astrobotic $297.9M for two, Firefly $144.2M, Intuitive Machines $148.3M. Common payloads: SCALPSS, a laser retroreflector and the LETS radiation spectrometer.
Unconfirmed — reported but not confirmed by a primary source:
The mission names "Peregrine M2/M3, IM-6, Blue Ghost M5" are not NASA’s.
Lander not yet designated — "lander readiness will determine which provider". OIG: both providers face challenges that could further affect delivery schedules for a 2028 landing.
Directive: readiness to launch by Q1 FY2030 (Oct–Dec 2029). EO 14369: "a lunar surface reactor ready for launch by 2030". No prime vendor award found as of September 2026.
Claims that appear in reporting but that no primary source confirmed. We show them labelled rather than state them as fact.
Artemis III: "NET late 2027" is press wording, not NASA’s.
Artemis III: Wikipedia’s "Mk 1.5" name for the Blue Origin vehicle.
SLS and Orion: Whether Artemis IV flies the last ICPS and Artemis V the first Centaur V — secondary sources conflict.
Axiom AxEMU lunar suit: A June 2026 status report that the pressure garments are "fully assembled and undergoing testing" and life-support components "in hand" (secondary).
Moon Base (announced at the Ignition event): The $20 billion figure has no NASA primary source.
Lunar terrain vehicles and MoonFall: MDA Space as a partner on Pegasus.
Fission Surface Power: June 2026 power-converter contracts (Rolls-Royce North America, Brayton Energy, GE).
Gateway: The Power and Propulsion Element going to SR-1 Freedom (Wikipedia only).
Gateway: About $1.9 billion spent on HALO (an OIG report we could not locate).
Lunar communications relay: Intuitive Machines’ Near Space Network lunar relay contract (September 2024, up to $4.82 billion).
Ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer demonstration: A "2026" target reported by a secondary outlet (SpaceDaily, August 2026).
Starship HLS uncrewed lunar landing demonstration: A 2027 date (Wikipedia only).
Artemis III: crewed docking test with lander pathfinders in Earth orbit: "No earlier than late 2027" (reported by press, not NASA’s wording).
Artemis III: crewed docking test with lander pathfinders in Earth orbit: An Orion "internal readiness date" of January 2028 (Wikipedia, no primary).